Science
Message Muddled, Public Befuddled
Watching sausage be made is enough to
ruin your appetite and probably best avoided, unless,
of course, you’re
an aspiring sausage maker in which case the process can
be interesting and instructive.
The same rule applies in other areas of life.
Legislators
know it is imprudent to allow the voters to watch their
process (known internally as “making the sausage”)
lest they be repelled by the arcane rules and endless
compromises required before a law is enacted. It is wiser
to allow the product to be examined once the process
is completed.
That may be relevant to science where the public has
had increasing opportunities in recent years to watch
the scientific sausage produced. Seekers of universal
rules will be pleased to note that the result there has
been the same -- confusing and negative.
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Jessie
Gruman
President
and Executive Director
Center for the
Advancement of Health
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The resulting tensions
are expertly discussed in articles that appeared
recently in the New York Times and Los
Angeles Times.*
Both articles conclude that scientists are interested
in process while the public is looking for product.
The two don’t always mesh well.
That means that scientists are comfortable with
hypotheses that a
re changed regularly as new research
is done, acknowledge that the progress is jagged
and incremental and that today’s apparent
truth may have a very short shelf life.
The rest of us are looking for stable answers that
will allow us to live better. I want to know whether
it makes sense for my 81-year-old mom to take estrogen
and you want to know whether consuming an apple
daily will keep you healthy. Tentative and temporary
answers don’t meet that need.
When such answers are transmitted by a press that’s
not always as expert as it could be or cautious
as it should be, that’s a recipe for trouble.
The rubber meets the road when correlation, which
is relatively easy to document, is construed as
causality, which is much more difficult to pin
down.
Computers abet the search for correlation, which
is one reason we get a lot of it, including the
Canadian study reporting that Sagittarians were
38 percent more likely to suffer a broken leg than
those with other star signs. Such conclusions can
be entertaining and interesting, which is why the
media sees them as catnip.
The problem is that they can confuse the public
(if tall coffee drinkers are more likely to get
cancer and athletic coffee drinkers less so, what’s
a tall athlete to do?) simultaneously undermining
respect for science and sensible public health
advice (like “eat your vegetables”).
It is easy to tell people to practice healthy habits.
But studies that can distract people from the basics
(eat moderately, exercise regularly) can create
an environment that’s more confusing than
constructive.
The conversations among scientists and between
science and the public are quite different. The
former happens on a minute-by minute basis. The
latter is almost exclusively mediated by journalists.
Perhaps more direct communication with the public
-- not about new findings, but about the processes
of science -- would help.
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The Health Behavior News Service regularly distributes
stories summarizing new research on health behavior
issues. These stories can be found online at http://www.cfah.org/hbns/news/index.cfm.
Here are some stories released in September:
Early Childbirth Linked to Poor Health in Middle Age
Women who have their first child before age 20 are at a higher risk of chronic
diseases and
death when they reach middle age, a new study shows.
Those Who Stay in School, Stay Healthier
Both education and income can determine whether a person will remain healthy,
but those
who stay in school longer have the best odds, largely because education so strongly
influences
income, say the authors of a new study.
Heart Medications: The More You Skip, the More You Risk
A new study finds that heart patients who most frequently miss a dose are more
than twice as
likely to suffer heart attack, stroke and death.
Depression Is Significant Cause of Early Retirement
Men in late middle age with depressive symptoms are more likely to leave the
labor force than men
without such symptoms are.
Nicotine Replacement Therapy an Option for Pregnant Smokers
Pregnant women trying to quit smoking could find it easier with help from nicotine
replacement
therapy, a new study finds, despite safety concerns about the risk of early delivery.
Tiered Medicare Plans Cut Drug Costs, Boost Generics Use
Seniors enrolled in Medicare plans that charge higher copayments for brand name
or non-
preferred medications could spend less and fill fewer prescriptions, thereby
lowering drug
spending, say the authors of a new study.
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